Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.073599 0.082580 0.091768 0.101840 0.112541 0.123545 0.135687
2025-06-08 0.056136 0.069157 0.083176 0.099250 0.117040 0.136006 0.157634
2025-06-15 0.047395 0.063002 0.080493 0.101230 0.124852 0.150657 0.180721
2025-06-22 0.040440 0.057661 0.077668 0.102078 0.130549 0.162261 0.199824
2025-06-29 0.037050 0.055960 0.078573 0.106776 0.140260 0.178086 0.223423
2025-07-06 0.032267 0.051947 0.076227 0.107215 0.144672 0.187587 0.239618
2025-07-13 0.031665 0.053126 0.080132 0.115090 0.157805 0.207154 0.267388
2025-07-20 0.026684 0.048008 0.075738 0.112459 0.158099 0.211508 0.277372
2025-07-27 0.025058 0.047293 0.076847 0.116566 0.166470 0.225338 0.298396
2025-08-03 0.022411 0.044862 0.075504 0.117406 0.170711 0.234169 0.313485
2025-08-10 0.020150 0.042765 0.074436 0.118460 0.175113 0.243120 0.328670
2025-08-17 0.018060 0.040713 0.073271 0.119260 0.179099 0.251503 0.343135
2025-08-24 0.014637 0.036357 0.068865 0.115906 0.178122 0.254268 0.351476
2025-08-31 0.011794 0.032589 0.065069 0.113232 0.177962 0.258066 0.361173
2025-09-07 0.010503 0.031335 0.064858 0.115389 0.184019 0.269559 0.380244
2025-09-14 0.009084 0.029635 0.063831 0.116307 0.188385 0.278903 0.396679
2025-09-21 0.008688 0.029854 0.065751 0.121381 0.198262 0.295206 0.421715
2025-09-28 0.007433 0.028146 0.064510 0.121855 0.201955 0.303669 0.437078
2025-10-05 0.007769 0.029840 0.068782 0.130344 0.216462 0.325925 0.469598
2025-10-12 0.006114 0.026920 0.065363 0.127509 0.215611 0.328565 0.477739
2025-10-19 0.005794 0.026991 0.066885 0.131933 0.224618 0.343835 0.501642
2025-10-26 0.004987 0.025737 0.066077 0.132837 0.228782 0.352870 0.517762
2025-11-02 0.004301 0.024641 0.065460 0.133972 0.233229 0.362258 0.534327